Friday, November 14, 2008

Who Rules America?

UCSC Sociologist William Domhoff analyzes Power in America. Some definitions:
For purposes of studying the wealth distribution, economists define wealth in terms of marketable assets, such as real estate, stocks, and bonds, leaving aside consumer durables like cars and household items because they are not as readily converted into cash and are more valuable to their owners for use purposes than they are for resale (Wolff, 2004, p. 4, for a full discussion of these issues). Once the value of all marketable assets is determined, then all debts, such as home mortgages and credit card debts, are subtracted, which yields a person's net worth.
He describes a distinct pyramid shaped class structure in America that has proven fairly stable over time. Historically (since the 1920s) the top one percent of American households have controlled between 30% and 40% of the national wealth (with the exception of a few years in the 1970s when that proportion dropped into and below the 20s).

He describes the class structure as of 2001:
In the United States, wealth is highly concentrated in a relatively few hands. As of 2001, the top 1% of households (the upper class) owned 33.4% of all privately held wealth, and the next 19% (the managerial, professional, and small business stratum) had 51%, which means that just 20% of the people owned a remarkable 84%, leaving only 16% of the wealth for the bottom 80% (wage and salary workers).
On inheritance:
Figures on inheritance tell much the same story. According to a study published by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, only 1.6% of Americans receive $100,000 or more in inheritance. Another 1.1% receive $50,000 to $100,000. On the other hand, 91.9% receive nothing (Kotlikoff & Gokhale, 2000).
On taxation (no longer on Domhoff's site) Obama is proposing raising income taxes on the top income bracket from 36% to 39%. This is a very modest increase on what is already a historically low level. This graph (http://www.truthandpolitics.org/top-rates.php) puts it in perspective: 

Historical rates (married couples, filing jointly)

 Table

Tax yearTop marginal
tax rate (%)
Top marginal
tax rate (%) on
earned income,
if different<1>
Taxable
income over--
19137500,000
19147500,000
19157500,000
1916152,000,000
1917672,000,000
1918771,000,000
1919731,000,000
1920731,000,000
1921731,000,000
192258200,000
192343.5200,000
192446500,000
192525100,000
192625100,000
192725100,000
192825100,000
192924100,000
193025100,000
193125100,000
1932631,000,000
1933631,000,000
1934631,000,000
1935631,000,000
1936795,000,000
1937795,000,000
1938795,000,000
1939795,000,000
194081.15,000,000
1941815,000,000
194288200,000
194388200,000
194494 <2>200,000
194594 <2>200,000
194686.45 <3>200,000
194786.45 <3>200,000
194882.13 <4>400,000
194982.13 <4>400,000
195084.36400,000
195191 <5>400,000
195292 <6>400,000
195392 <6>400,000
195491 <7>400,000
195591 <7>400,000
195691 <7>400,000
195791 <7>400,000
195891 <7>400,000
195991 <7>400,000
196091 <7>400,000
196191 <7>400,000
196291 <7>400,000
196391 <7>400,000
196477400,000
196570200,000
196670200,000
196770200,000
196875.25200,000
196977200,000
197071.75200,000
19717060200,000
19727050200,000
19737050200,000
19747050200,000
19757050200,000
19767050200,000
19777050203,200
19787050203,200
19797050215,400
19807050215,400
198169.12550215,400
19825085,600
198350109,400
198450162,400
198550169,020
198650175,250
198738.590,000
198828 <8>29,750 <8>
198928 <8>30,950 <8>
199028 <8>32,450 <8>
19913182,150
19923186,500
199339.689,150
199439.6250,000
199539.6256,500
199639.6263,750
199739.6271,050
199839.6278,450
199939.6283,150
200039.6288,350
200139.1297,350
200238.6307,050
200335311,950




As the graph makes clear rates increased to nearly 80% in the 1910s. In the 1920s, they fell to around 25%. FDR raised them to about 60% to fight the Great Depression, then to over 90% to fight WWII. They remained in the in the 80-90% range until JFK/ LBJ lowered them to about 70%, where they sat until Reagan lowered back to 1920s levels (28%). Bush 41 and Clinton pushed them back up to 40%, and Bush 43 brought them back to 35%.

Sociologist Walden Bello ask key questions of the new administration:
The question isn't whether there is space for innovation, but whether Obama will go farther and make transformative moves in the ownership and control of the economy. Will we simply have a return to old-fashioned Keynesianism or will we finally move decisively toward a social democratic regime that truly subordinates the market to society? That he is said to have surrounded himself with Democratic neoliberals like Larry Summers, Robert Rubin, and Paul Volcker is cause for concern but hardly alarm at this point. Obama knows that the vote was a referendum against neoliberalism, whether of the doctrinal Reagan variety or the more pragmatic Clinton kind.

No comments: